It’s always a bit surprising to remember Chairlift are a duo. Caroline Polachek and Patrick Wimberly juggle countless instruments in the studio and on the stage. At the start of the year, they released “Ch-Ching”, but for some reason their renaissance abilities hit like brand new, leaving us wondering how they pull off such a massive sound with only two bodies behind the helm. The intro ripples with horns and a whistle, a combination of coquettish nature. Then, like a slap to the wrist, the sound cuts clean, and a massive bubble of production takes over. Synth flickers in, hand claps jitter, and saxophones hiccup. The sounds toy with one another but never actually touch, giving the illusion of a desire that cannot be captured.

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Six pins and half a dozen needles is constructed from 4,000 bricks and over 1,000 stainless steel components. A crane was used to carefully position the artwork in place at 20 meters above ground level. The installation leans against a concrete facade and weighs approximately ten-tonnes.


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There were two shows that I sat in on that got incredibly uncomfortable for the audience. The first was an extreme spelling bee hosted by Alfonso Ribeiro, aka Carlton from The Fresh Prince of Bel Air. It sounds like a fever dream, but I am not making this up.


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Next, we tested our mechanism prediction. We used mixed model regression that controlled for the linear and quadratic terms for time and included participant as a random effect. The first model revealed that expected productivity significantly predicted creativity predictions (b = 0/65, SE = 0/03, t = 21/24, P < 0/001, CI95%[0/59, 0/71]). The second model revealed that expected productivity did not, however, predict actual creativity (b = 0/05, SE = 0/04, t = 1/25, P = 0/210, CI95%[−0/03, 0/12]). This analysis sheds light on how expected productivity influences the disconnect between predicted and actual creativity: Expected productivity influences creativity predictions but not actual creativity.

That would be me. I'm more than happy to do all those things and more, because they pay me to do them. Almost every show that features a live studio (visit this page) audience has hired me or people like me. Here's what I learned getting paid to pretend to be interested.


But hasn't it always seemed a little odd that there are apparently tons of tourists for whom there is nothing better to do in Manhattan than sit in on an episode of Who Wants to Be a Millionaire? Sure, people like Jon Stewart can pull in a crowd, but who the hell are all these people laughing at Jay Leno's terrible jokes?

Participants then predicted how creative their ideas would be across days 2 to 5 (−50 = much less creative than today’s ideas, 0 = about the same as today’s ideas, +50 = much more creative than today’s ideas). Note that participants did not make a day 1 prediction and that the days 2 to 5 predictions were made in relation to day 1; for analysis, we coded day 1 as zero. Finally, participants completed demographic information to end the day 1 session. On each of days 2 to 5, participants were emailed a link to an online survey where they completed that day’s ideation session.


It's not uncommon, particularly on a criminally unfunny sitcom, to bribe the audience with prizes. Whoever laughs the loudest at Ashton Kutcher's terrible joke will get a DVD set of an actual good show, for example. On these sitcoms, the wrangler will often be a stand-up comedian who will try to get you to laugh with his own jokes between bouts of Ashton Kutcher giving your brain a colonoscopy.

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We refer to this misprediction as the creative cliff illusion

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Chiaroscuro is a photography technique and style often referred to as “clair obscur” or “extreme low key”. While the term chiaroscuro originates from the Renaissance period and is often associated with painting or drawing, it has evolved into the photographic world and now often simply means strong and bold contrasts between light and dark areas in a photograph.



You can tell by the way they nod off in the middle of a taping. You can also tell by their tendency to burgle and assault people. Paid audience members will show up to a taping that's already full with the hope that someone will drop out and they can take their place at the last minute. Fistfights have broken out over those spots.

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In the first two studies, participants made predictions about their creative performance on a future task. In study 3, we asked participants to estimate their creative performance on a task they just completed. This design allowed us to test the robustness of the creative cliff illusion—to test whether the effect is limited to predictions about creative performance or extends to assessments of past performance. The rationale underlying our primary hypothesis is that people confuse a decline in idea productivity with a decline in idea creativity. If this is the case, having experienced the task should not correct or reduce the misprediction.

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We tested our hypotheses in a paradigm that incorporated two notable features of creative work. First, ideas are sometimes generated across multiple ideation sessions. To this end, we extended the timeframe of the paradigm to span across 5 days (d). Second, participants generated ideas about their own creative tasks. We asked participants to identify a creative challenge they are currently working through in their own lives and to use this study as an opportunity to facilitate idea generation and problem solving.

The laughter didn't sync up with any scripted jokes. I'm not even sure there were any scripted jokes.


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One woman pulled her husband aside off camera and lost her entire shit at him after he failed to help their child do his tricks as well as she would have liked. With so much money at stake and tensions so high, I'm almost certain there was some post-performance child abuse going on. But you don't think about that - you awwww for the child, make sad noises when the parents lose, and cheer when they win. Any calls to child services must be made on your own time.

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The current research revealed a fundamental disconnect between people’s beliefs and the reality of the creative process. A combined analysis across all studies revealed that, consistent with prior research, creativity significantly increased across an ideation session (linear: F(1,928) = 50/14, P < 0/001, η2 = 0/05]).

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If you're on a set with both paid and unpaid audience members, they can't let the regular fans know that there are imposters in their midst. It would ruin the magic of watching the KKK duke it out with Jerry. That's why the production crew has code words they use to separate the paid participants so we can take care of business away from disgusting, common eyes. When it's time for the paid participants to line up and accept their filthy blood money, an assistant director (AD) will announce something like "Adam's group, please exit to the left - everyone else can stay seated," but there is no Adam.

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Study 1 provided an initial test of our hypothesis. Participants were 121 adults from Amazon Mechanical Turk (AMT). Ten failed an attention check, and one did not complete the survey, leaving 110 for analysis (Mage = 32/29, SDage = 9/89; 56 men, 54 women). Participants were told they would complete an idea generation task in which they would generate ideas about how a charity organization could increase donations from its local community. Participants first made five creativity predictions about how creative their responses would be during each minute of the task (−50 = not at all creative, +50 = extremely creative). Creative ideas were defined as ideas that are both novel and useful. Participants then completed the actual idea generation task. To incentivize performance, each idea generated earned participants a raffle ticket into a $50 lottery; across studies, we used similar incentives. A separate group of AMT participants rated the creativity of participants’ ideas (−50 = not at all creative, +50 = extremely creative), and an average creativity score was computed for each minute of the task (see SI Appendix, Supplementary Text for additional details about the creativity rating procedure we used in studies 1 through 7).


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We tested our predictions across eight studies. Studies 1 through 7 collected creativity predictions as well as actual performance across an ideation session. This allowed us to test the hypothesis that predicted and actual creativity diverge. Studies 3 and 4 provided evidence of our proposed mechanism that people’s creativity beliefs are informed by (the inappropriate) use of a productivity heuristic. Study 5 tested our hypotheses across a longer timeframe (across 5 days). Studies 6 and 7 explored a possible moderator and an intervention designed to attenuate the effect. Finally, people’s beliefs about creativity are important because they shape how, and to what extent, they invest effort into the creative process (6, 21). Study 8 tested whether beliefs about declining creativity influence task persistence and subsequent creative performance.

In that case, a helpful prop person will go out to Walmart the day before and buy up their entire inventory of poster board and glitter glue. They stay up all night using their high school presentation skills to decorate signs with hearts and smiley faces and terrible puns on the contestants' names. They then distribute the signs to the paid audience before taping, creating the illusion that the contestants have a rabid fan base.


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Prior to analysis, predicted and actual creativity scores were standardized to facilitate comparison. To compare the trajectory of people’s predictions against the trajectory of their actual performance, we conducted a 2(performance: predicted, actual) × 5(time period: 1 to 5) repeated measures ANOVA.

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Study 3 demonstrates the fundamental difficulty of predicting one’s own creative performance. Even after experiencing the task, participants still mispredicted the trajectory of their creativity.

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